Monday, March 11, 2019

16686

Okay, for newbies -- lots to look at regarding this page. We have an index well (#16686) that was not fracked after it was first drilled, back in 2008. In 2014, it had a very, very small frack (1.8 million lbs); at that time showed a nice jump in production as one would expect. Then, there was another jump in production in December, 2018, and yet it was not re-fracked. The production was high enough suggesting the well was indeed fracked.

Well, it turns out that for all intents and purposes, it was re-fracked -- by four neighboring wells; two running in the same direction as #16686, and two running in the opposite direction.
1. Look at the jump in production in December, 2018, even though this well was not re-fracked; this is a classic MRO phenomenon;

2. Look at the incredible IPs for the new wells (at least one of them was a Three Forks well; these wells are in the Reunion Bay oil field and in MRO's hands, are incredible wells;

3. When looking at production numbers for any given month, if production seems low, look at the number of days of production;
***************************************

The well:
  • 16686, 379, MRO, Shobe 24-20H, API: 33-061-00547, Reunion Bay, t12/08; cum 415K 1/19; 
  • This well was fracked/tested:12/16/2008: 0 stages; 511,700 lbs; note production at initial completion; not fracked
  • Re-fracked/tested: 7/9/14: 30 stages; 1.8 million lbs sand; note jump in production after this small frack
  • Note jump in production, 12/18; not re-fracked: nice jump in production see below 
So, what caused the jump in production in 12/18? Let's look at the neighboring wells. There are four, all of them relatively far away -- certainly not sister wells; maybe not even parent/child wells by strict definition, but that's all in the eye of the beholder; I won't argue it one way or the other;

The wells to the west, running the same direction:
  • 33390, 4,576, MRO, Martha Grube USA 14-20H, Reunion Bay, t11/18; cum 130K 1/19; huge well:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-201931411274113126843618133013728926
BAKKEN12-201828398333984426360444952475617074
BAKKEN11-201820482044816828872565171080042543
BAKKEN10-201823520978300807
  • 33391, 5,330, MRO, Nugget USA 14-20H, Reunion Bay, t11/18; cum 137K 1/19; huge well:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-201931442764422134700666723222731485
BAKKEN12-201827365153662434399474392477720210
BAKKEN11-201826565595610458608675331325650548
BAKKEN10-20182006264170417

The wells to the east, running the opposite direction:
  • 32024, 7,956, MRO, Ness USA 31-17H, Reunion Bay, t10/18; cum 181K 1/19; a huge well:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-20193050879514952489766084581656884
BAKKEN12-2018214453944245158375315064349565
BAKKEN11-20181031785335221642443297041173
BAKKEN10-20181453801514772788855454051948
  • 32025, 6,140, MRO, BeckyUSA 21-17TFH, Reunion Bay, t10/18; cum 104K 1/19; a huge well:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-20192114166149101134024961173722279
BAKKEN12-2018314135841116336206811870264668
BAKKEN11-20181831155313483512530559028503
BAKKEN10-2018817810170411887121547020383

Full production profile:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-2019311150911536147911416268816621
BAKKEN12-2018301379613667289321484481205927
BAKKEN11-201813023007611152969
BAKKEN10-20180000000
BAKKEN9-20180000000
BAKKEN8-2018203701852510250
BAKKEN7-201827262525825683686331565
BAKKEN6-201830303231666564208382333
BAKKEN5-20183130933179723427019401969
BAKKEN4-201830333132297344524396023
BAKKEN3-2018313295328777346783977160
BAKKEN2-2018283196317667843503265570
BAKKEN1-20183134723419749381611612096
BAKKEN12-2017303405344773045513665344
BAKKEN11-2017303419341185443883628209
BAKKEN10-20173142744197755474529671130
BAKKEN9-201730288228607404446389162
BAKKEN8-20173136363731771482642460
BAKKEN7-2017313687354777947413677478
BAKKEN6-201730357736937624563396035
BAKKEN5-2017313932393880146713470594
BAKKEN4-2017303819379480345983595409
BAKKEN3-2017314054400082147674008134
BAKKEN2-20172837103733725410825311013
BAKKEN1-20173142164288839453328801018
BAKKEN12-2016314286424185548873505737
BAKKEN11-2016304224421483445163764120
BAKKEN10-20163042034096824424116651952
BAKKEN9-2016304299443688843813430316
BAKKEN8-2016313541352966835722902107
BAKKEN7-2016312988291046829782212264
BAKKEN6-2016302954298247930222351175
BAKKEN5-2016313078306948332372595134
BAKKEN4-2016304607477089050804258155
BAKKEN3-20163150884966109055844658198
BAKKEN2-20162952025194110756274753143
BAKKEN1-20163152305216113571265602787
BAKKEN12-20153154395882117356414402475
BAKKEN11-20153058415627124174206000615
BAKKEN10-20153159205866134180436731493
BAKKEN9-20153059705880131572746065391
BAKKEN8-20153166466489151279546519538
BAKKEN7-20153165426572160684017028490
BAKKEN6-20153067626815162786427019720
BAKKEN5-201531757576031836813356091526
BAKKEN4-201530777877051908714624943638
BAKKEN3-201531869889872269986776301120
BAKKEN2-201528859687112152769631803433
BAKKEN1-20153110511103052625970635594839
BAKKEN12-201431120501213433331027614977305
BAKKEN11-201430138321394038211186815958614
BAKKEN10-201428156311554444711344618879725
BAKKEN9-201430178301779159941528265412543
BAKKEN8-201421113651159554771248127468402
BAKKEN7-20149842579681088720606256
BAKKEN6-201411420000
BAKKEN5-20142710839772411087567248
BAKKEN4-201430124613851581316903107
BAKKEN3-20143113011137168134193688
BAKKEN2-2014281050927139104573431
BAKKEN1-2014317399337380149547
BAKKEN12-2013317719287179553871
BAKKEN11-201323683430134668362174
BAKKEN10-20131335046245503266159
BAKKEN9-20133071686879848558110
BAKKEN8-20133180987311489162085
BAKKEN7-2013311338133618918421470186
BAKKEN6-2013301492180523819761583213
BAKKEN5-2013311611130525121711684301
BAKKEN4-2013301510157722515551246130
BAKKEN3-201331148914062591423888349
BAKKEN2-2013281101940485508159182
BAKKEN1-201325184448034272261
BAKKEN12-2012187747095831581142
BAKKEN11-201271434673274127116
BAKKEN10-20121839822220493217168
BAKKEN9-2012134792343835659225
BAKKEN8-2012205271181135581326139
BAKKEN7-20121573398991498224188
BAKKEN6-201230127211031871290908202
BAKKEN5-201230136817231231342969204
BAKKEN4-20121670535773802597116
BAKKEN3-2012311313108316614021087133
BAKKEN2-201229128014941481213867172
BAKKEN1-20122110931380781052829109
BAKKEN12-20112812069801451231952111
BAKKEN11-201130133310141691278963137
BAKKEN10-2011311489198917014691009275
BAKKEN9-2011161085119087139056
BAKKEN8-20112611004601421165896123
BAKKEN7-201128132115481621297683454
BAKKEN6-2011301411133820116001231189
BAKKEN5-2011311617111123418711462229
BAKKEN4-2011271478150818515981302148
BAKKEN3-2011311757184524819721614181
BAKKEN2-201124165418412381601137785
BAKKEN1-20112317311865203151413920
BAKKEN12-2010281960160143019211271626
BAKKEN11-201013103410925479910922
BAKKEN10-2010155094301125390453
BAKKEN9-20102716931751300165801505
BAKKEN8-20103121622266478248502299
BAKKEN7-20102923432171497300002846
BAKKEN6-2010136136521178100743
BAKKEN5-20103121702172327282502640
BAKKEN4-20103022572239347294902769
BAKKEN3-20102925202606412320303043
BAKKEN2-20102826942684510345103285
BAKKEN1-20102730933225550394203781
BAKKEN12-20093024602190727243602436
BAKKEN11-2009114586361175590559
BAKKEN10-20093122972128247279202792
BAKKEN9-20093023742591273288702887
BAKKEN8-20093125572595288248002480
BAKKEN7-20093127842601312222302223
BAKKEN6-20093026713038328237602376
BAKKEN5-20093134603342357252202522
BAKKEN4-20093031103197320248502485
BAKKEN3-20093136663438398296202962
BAKKEN2-20092838203803462305603056
BAKKEN1-20092543084464532339603396
BAKKEN12-200825540649411561431904319
BAKKEN11-2008122330971860186

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