16686

Okay, for newbies -- lots to look at regarding this page. We have an index well (#16686) that was not fracked after it was first drilled, back in 2008. In 2014, it had a very, very small frack (1.8 million lbs); at that time showed a nice jump in production as one would expect. Then, there was another jump in production in December, 2018, and yet it was not re-fracked. The production was high enough suggesting the well was indeed fracked.

Well, it turns out that for all intents and purposes, it was re-fracked -- by four neighboring wells; two running in the same direction as #16686, and two running in the opposite direction.

1. Look at the jump in production in December, 2018, even though this well was not re-fracked; this is a classic MRO phenomenon;

2. Look at the incredible IPs for the new wells (at least one of them was a Three Forks well; these wells are in the Reunion Bay oil field and in MRO's hands, are incredible wells;

3. When looking at production numbers for any given month, if production seems low, look at the number of days of production;

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The well:

• 16686, 379, MRO, Shobe 24-20H, API: 33-061-00547, Reunion Bay, t12/08; cum 415K 1/19; 

• This well was fracked/tested:12/16/2008: 0 stages; 511,700 lbs; note production at initial completion; not fracked
• Re-fracked/tested: 7/9/14: 30 stages; 1.8 million lbs sand; note jump in production after this small frack
• Note jump in production, 12/18; not re-fracked: nice jump in production see below 

So, what caused the jump in production in 12/18? Let's look at the neighboring wells. There are four, all of them relatively far away -- certainly not sister wells; maybe not even parent/child wells by strict definition, but that's all in the eye of the beholder; I won't argue it one way or the other;

The wells to the west, running the same direction:

• 33390, 4,576, MRO, Martha Grube USA 14-20H, Reunion Bay, t11/18; cum 130K 1/19; huge well:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2019	31	41127	41131	26843	61813	30137	28926
BAKKEN	12-2018	28	39833	39844	26360	44495	24756	17074
BAKKEN	11-2018	20	48204	48168	28872	56517	10800	42543
BAKKEN	10-2018	2	352	0	97	830	0	807

• 33391, 5,330, MRO, Nugget USA 14-20H, Reunion Bay, t11/18; cum 137K 1/19; huge well:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2019	31	44276	44221	34700	66672	32227	31485
BAKKEN	12-2018	27	36515	36624	34399	47439	24777	20210
BAKKEN	11-2018	26	56559	56104	58608	67533	13256	50548
BAKKEN	10-2018	2	0	0	626	417	0	417

The wells to the east, running the opposite direction:

• 32024, 7,956, MRO, Ness USA 31-17H, Reunion Bay, t10/18; cum 181K 1/19; a huge well:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2019	30	50879	51495	24897	66084	5816	56884
BAKKEN	12-2018	21	44539	44245	15837	53150	643	49565
BAKKEN	11-2018	10	31785	33522	16424	43297	0	41173
BAKKEN	10-2018	14	53801	51477	27888	55454	0	51948

• 32025, 6,140, MRO, BeckyUSA 21-17TFH, Reunion Bay, t10/18; cum 104K 1/19; a huge well:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2019	21	14166	14910	11340	24961	1737	22279
BAKKEN	12-2018	31	41358	41116	33620	68118	702	64668
BAKKEN	11-2018	18	31155	31348	35125	30559	0	28503
BAKKEN	10-2018	8	17810	17041	18871	21547	0	20383

Full production profile:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2019	31	11509	11536	14791	14162	6881	6621
BAKKEN	12-2018	30	13796	13667	28932	14844	8120	5927
BAKKEN	11-2018	1	302	300	761	115	29	69
BAKKEN	10-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2018	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2018	2	0	370	185	251	0	250
BAKKEN	7-2018	27	2625	2582	568	3686	3315	65
BAKKEN	6-2018	30	3032	3166	656	4208	3823	33
BAKKEN	5-2018	31	3093	3179	723	4270	1940	1969
BAKKEN	4-2018	30	3331	3229	734	4524	3960	23
BAKKEN	3-2018	31	3295	3287	773	4678	3977	160
BAKKEN	2-2018	28	3196	3176	678	4350	3265	570
BAKKEN	1-2018	31	3472	3419	749	3816	1161	2096
BAKKEN	12-2017	30	3405	3447	730	4551	3665	344
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	3419	3411	854	4388	3628	209
BAKKEN	10-2017	31	4274	4197	755	4745	2967	1130
BAKKEN	9-2017	30	2882	2860	740	4446	3891	62
BAKKEN	8-2017	31	3636	3731	771	4826	4246	0
BAKKEN	7-2017	31	3687	3547	779	4741	3677	478
BAKKEN	6-2017	30	3577	3693	762	4563	3960	35
BAKKEN	5-2017	31	3932	3938	801	4671	3470	594
BAKKEN	4-2017	30	3819	3794	803	4598	3595	409
BAKKEN	3-2017	31	4054	4000	821	4767	4008	134
BAKKEN	2-2017	28	3710	3733	725	4108	2531	1013
BAKKEN	1-2017	31	4216	4288	839	4533	2880	1018
BAKKEN	12-2016	31	4286	4241	855	4887	3505	737
BAKKEN	11-2016	30	4224	4214	834	4516	3764	120
BAKKEN	10-2016	30	4203	4096	824	4241	1665	1952
BAKKEN	9-2016	30	4299	4436	888	4381	3430	316
BAKKEN	8-2016	31	3541	3529	668	3572	2902	107
BAKKEN	7-2016	31	2988	2910	468	2978	2212	264
BAKKEN	6-2016	30	2954	2982	479	3022	2351	175
BAKKEN	5-2016	31	3078	3069	483	3237	2595	134
BAKKEN	4-2016	30	4607	4770	890	5080	4258	155
BAKKEN	3-2016	31	5088	4966	1090	5584	4658	198
BAKKEN	2-2016	29	5202	5194	1107	5627	4753	143
BAKKEN	1-2016	31	5230	5216	1135	7126	5602	787
BAKKEN	12-2015	31	5439	5882	1173	5641	4402	475
BAKKEN	11-2015	30	5841	5627	1241	7420	6000	615
BAKKEN	10-2015	31	5920	5866	1341	8043	6731	493
BAKKEN	9-2015	30	5970	5880	1315	7274	6065	391
BAKKEN	8-2015	31	6646	6489	1512	7954	6519	538
BAKKEN	7-2015	31	6542	6572	1606	8401	7028	490
BAKKEN	6-2015	30	6762	6815	1627	8642	7019	720
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	7575	7603	1836	8133	5609	1526
BAKKEN	4-2015	30	7778	7705	1908	7146	2494	3638
BAKKEN	3-2015	31	8698	8987	2269	9867	7630	1120
BAKKEN	2-2015	28	8596	8711	2152	7696	3180	3433
BAKKEN	1-2015	31	10511	10305	2625	9706	3559	4839
BAKKEN	12-2014	31	12050	12134	3333	10276	1497	7305
BAKKEN	11-2014	30	13832	13940	3821	11868	1595	8614
BAKKEN	10-2014	28	15631	15544	4471	13446	1887	9725
BAKKEN	9-2014	30	17830	17791	5994	15282	654	12543
BAKKEN	8-2014	21	11365	11595	5477	12481	2746	8402
BAKKEN	7-2014	9	8425	7968	1088	7206	0	6256
BAKKEN	6-2014	1	1	42	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2014	27	1083	977	241	1087	567	248
BAKKEN	4-2014	30	1246	1385	158	1316	903	107
BAKKEN	3-2014	31	1301	1137	168	1341	936	88
BAKKEN	2-2014	28	1050	927	139	1045	734	31
BAKKEN	1-2014	31	739	933	73	801	495	47
BAKKEN	12-2013	31	771	928	71	795	538	71
BAKKEN	11-2013	23	683	430	134	668	362	174
BAKKEN	10-2013	13	350	462	45	503	266	159
BAKKEN	9-2013	30	716	868	79	848	558	110
BAKKEN	8-2013	31	809	873	114	891	620	85
BAKKEN	7-2013	31	1338	1336	189	1842	1470	186
BAKKEN	6-2013	30	1492	1805	238	1976	1583	213
BAKKEN	5-2013	31	1611	1305	251	2171	1684	301
BAKKEN	4-2013	30	1510	1577	225	1555	1246	130
BAKKEN	3-2013	31	1489	1406	259	1423	888	349
BAKKEN	2-2013	28	1101	940	485	508	159	182
BAKKEN	1-2013	2	518	444	80	342	72	261
BAKKEN	12-2012	18	774	709	5	831	581	142
BAKKEN	11-2012	7	143	467	3	274	127	116
BAKKEN	10-2012	18	398	222	20	493	217	168
BAKKEN	9-2012	13	479	234	38	356	59	225
BAKKEN	8-2012	20	527	1181	135	581	326	139
BAKKEN	7-2012	15	733	989	91	498	224	188
BAKKEN	6-2012	30	1272	1103	187	1290	908	202
BAKKEN	5-2012	30	1368	1723	123	1342	969	204
BAKKEN	4-2012	16	705	357	73	802	597	116
BAKKEN	3-2012	31	1313	1083	166	1402	1087	133
BAKKEN	2-2012	29	1280	1494	148	1213	867	172
BAKKEN	1-2012	21	1093	1380	78	1052	829	109
BAKKEN	12-2011	28	1206	980	145	1231	952	111
BAKKEN	11-2011	30	1333	1014	169	1278	963	137
BAKKEN	10-2011	31	1489	1989	170	1469	1009	275
BAKKEN	9-2011	16	1085	1190	87	139	0	56
BAKKEN	8-2011	26	1100	460	142	1165	896	123
BAKKEN	7-2011	28	1321	1548	162	1297	683	454
BAKKEN	6-2011	30	1411	1338	201	1600	1231	189
BAKKEN	5-2011	31	1617	1111	234	1871	1462	229
BAKKEN	4-2011	27	1478	1508	185	1598	1302	148
BAKKEN	3-2011	31	1757	1845	248	1972	1614	181
BAKKEN	2-2011	24	1654	1841	238	1601	1377	85
BAKKEN	1-2011	23	1731	1865	203	1514	1392	0
BAKKEN	12-2010	28	1960	1601	430	1921	127	1626
BAKKEN	11-2010	13	1034	1092	547	991	0	922
BAKKEN	10-2010	15	509	430	112	539	0	453
BAKKEN	9-2010	27	1693	1751	300	1658	0	1505
BAKKEN	8-2010	31	2162	2266	478	2485	0	2299
BAKKEN	7-2010	29	2343	2171	497	3000	0	2846
BAKKEN	6-2010	13	613	652	117	810	0	743
BAKKEN	5-2010	31	2170	2172	327	2825	0	2640
BAKKEN	4-2010	30	2257	2239	347	2949	0	2769
BAKKEN	3-2010	29	2520	2606	412	3203	0	3043
BAKKEN	2-2010	28	2694	2684	510	3451	0	3285
BAKKEN	1-2010	27	3093	3225	550	3942	0	3781
BAKKEN	12-2009	30	2460	2190	727	2436	0	2436
BAKKEN	11-2009	11	458	636	117	559	0	559
BAKKEN	10-2009	31	2297	2128	247	2792	0	2792
BAKKEN	9-2009	30	2374	2591	273	2887	0	2887
BAKKEN	8-2009	31	2557	2595	288	2480	0	2480
BAKKEN	7-2009	31	2784	2601	312	2223	0	2223
BAKKEN	6-2009	30	2671	3038	328	2376	0	2376
BAKKEN	5-2009	31	3460	3342	357	2522	0	2522
BAKKEN	4-2009	30	3110	3197	320	2485	0	2485
BAKKEN	3-2009	31	3666	3438	398	2962	0	2962
BAKKEN	2-2009	28	3820	3803	462	3056	0	3056
BAKKEN	1-2009	25	4308	4464	532	3396	0	3396
BAKKEN	12-2008	25	5406	4941	1561	4319	0	4319
BAKKEN	11-2008	12	233	0	97	186	0	186