16909 -- Advantaged Oil In Bailey Oil Field -- March 8, 2020

Several MRO wells in Bailey oil field are coming off the confidential list this week. See this post. Because of the location of the wells and the fact that the wells are still confidential, I was not sure sure which way the horizontals would run. I can pretty much guess based on the names of the wells. But there's an even easier way to confirm which way these new horizontals will run.

Of all fields, and all operators, MRO and the Bailey oil field is absolutely the poster child for "advantaged" oil -- many, not all, huge examples of the halo effect.

Take a look at the production profile of this MRO Bailey oil field well that was drilled/completed in 2008.

The well:

• 16909, 260, MRO, Lily Reiss 41-14H, Bailey, t2/08; cum 231K 1/20;

When you look at the production profile:

• note the production from the last five months (20,000 bbls/month)
• compare that production with production just before it came off line (500 bbls/month)
• the best production this well had after it was fracked back in 2008: 5,000 bbls/month and it quickly declined to 1,000 bbls/month)
• bottom line: this has been a lousy well, but with the completion of four neighboring wells, this well has a new "lease on life," as they say;
• the production numbers are so incredible, I assume it was re-fracked; let's check:
• API: 33-025-00688
• it sure was; it was fracked in early August, 2019; 
• 45 stages, 5.5 million pounds; plug and perf 
• so the halo effect is not the direct result of neighboring fracks, but an indirect effect of being re-fracked at the time new, neighboring wells were fracked
• this is a great example of "advantaged" oil rather than "halo effect" per se;
• but there's even more to the story: back in 2017, another well in that same section was re-fracked and had similar results, #17817, Kempf Trust, and is now approaching 500K bbls of crude oil, cumulative; again, "advantaged" oil, not any "halo effect."

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	1-2020	31	16891	17002	16233	13991	8179	4346
BAKKEN	12-2019	31	19056	19026	19128	14817	6691	6534
BAKKEN	11-2019	30	22977	22963	26814	17592	8001	7750
BAKKEN	10-2019	27	22070	21999	29530	13830	3059	10440
BAKKEN	9-2019	25	23673	23747	50992	17313	0	16964
BAKKEN	8-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2019	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2019	28	442	401	125	378	9	178
BAKKEN	1-2019	31	503	515	71	432	42	174
BAKKEN	12-2018	31	484	504	79	439	42	182
BAKKEN	11-2018	30	547	468	79	433	0	220
BAKKEN	10-2018	31	531	713	79	450	52	180
BAKKEN	9-2018	30	517	391	79	434	49	174
BAKKEN	8-2018	30	544	489	83	451	39	199
BAKKEN	7-2018	31	557	588	83	461	12	229
BAKKEN	6-2018	30	547	541	91	455	19	223
BAKKEN	5-2018	31	568	608	86	466	3	243
BAKKEN	4-2018	30	560	517	94	478	0	240
BAKKEN	3-2018	31	596	565	97	503	0	255
BAKKEN	2-2018	28	579	586	95	476	0	248
BAKKEN	1-2018	27	715	722	128	539	0	307
BAKKEN	12-2017	26	576	528	103	459	0	248
BAKKEN	11-2017	30	639	689	104	519	11	262
BAKKEN	10-2017	30	683	691	100	546	103	192
BAKKEN	9-2017	23	677	674	359	516	67	243
BAKKEN	8-2017	27	740	739	124	555	24	294
BAKKEN	7-2017	13	712	639	152	495	240	105
BAKKEN	6-2017	18	846	798	459	579	273	114
BAKKEN	5-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2016	0	0	40	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2016	27	466	504	76	363	161	1
BAKKEN	9-2016	30	560	590	93	406	111	56
BAKKEN	8-2016	31	526	545	90	452	210	0
BAKKEN	7-2016	31	674	641	99	491	231	2
BAKKEN	6-2016	30	630	641	96	501	253	1
BAKKEN	5-2016	31	638	653	109	506	191	61
BAKKEN	4-2016	30	1250	1228	64	831	498	19
BAKKEN	3-2016	31	410	413	78	438	135	73
BAKKEN	2-2016	29	196	181	47	206	11	0
BAKKEN	1-2016	31	171	149	34	208	4	0
BAKKEN	12-2015	31	127	116	78	205	5	0
BAKKEN	11-2015	30	152	194	36	206	9	1
BAKKEN	10-2015	31	232	394	26	238	27	0
BAKKEN	9-2015	30	286	221	55	235	21	3
BAKKEN	8-2015	31	193	232	57	312	100	5
BAKKEN	7-2015	31	799	682	81	400	57	71
BAKKEN	6-2015	30	552	626	81	353	4	110
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	572	617	97	376	54	75
BAKKEN	4-2015	30	566	586	77	371	28	102
BAKKEN	3-2015	31	594	434	85	378	8	120
BAKKEN	2-2015	28	542	471	83	370	87	57
BAKKEN	1-2015	31	621	920	84	455	147	56
BAKKEN	12-2014	31	627	428	90	541	136	152
BAKKEN	11-2014	30	602	685	125	516	107	165
BAKKEN	10-2014	31	606	456	84	532	243	38
BAKKEN	9-2014	30	591	669	92	519	222	54
BAKKEN	8-2014	31	610	691	90	526	39	236
BAKKEN	7-2014	31	625	455	90	530	67	210
BAKKEN	6-2014	30	609	669	126	539	177	121
BAKKEN	5-2014	31	628	705	98	557	275	34
BAKKEN	4-2014	30	638	681	90	535	155	132
BAKKEN	3-2014	31	684	699	112	574	238	77
BAKKEN	2-2014	24	556	473	158	462	145	114
BAKKEN	1-2014	31	680	697	94	585	307	19
BAKKEN	12-2013	31	676	706	88	462	182	94
BAKKEN	11-2013	30	658	464	99	434	170	84
BAKKEN	10-2013	31	695	696	95	417	178	53
BAKKEN	9-2013	30	671	696	99	502	283	39
BAKKEN	8-2013	31	699	694	103	533	316	31
BAKKEN	7-2013	31	709	698	110	532	308	38
BAKKEN	6-2013	29	697	690	101	430	192	78
BAKKEN	5-2013	31	745	914	149	582	333	63
BAKKEN	4-2013	30	759	698	145	504	286	38
BAKKEN	3-2013	31	839	934	165	463	174	103
BAKKEN	2-2013	28	842	697	165	453	249	36
BAKKEN	1-2013	17	575	479	243	386	239	45
BAKKEN	12-2012	26	516	692	70	324	141	33
BAKKEN	11-2012	30	742	665	178	495	288	27
BAKKEN	10-2012	31	698	625	140	425	201	38
BAKKEN	9-2012	29	633	671	145	431	202	57
BAKKEN	8-2012	31	766	887	132	556	332	38
BAKKEN	7-2012	31	788	679	168	576	331	59
BAKKEN	6-2012	30	766	896	188	597	360	57
BAKKEN	5-2012	31	811	689	168	582	351	45
BAKKEN	4-2012	30	804	895	165	548	245	123
BAKKEN	3-2012	31	854	819	140	581	352	43
BAKKEN	2-2012	29	795	934	127	535	270	91
BAKKEN	1-2012	31	846	706	102	543	335	22
BAKKEN	12-2011	31	881	920	107	568	342	40
BAKKEN	11-2011	30	817	902	162	572	344	48
BAKKEN	10-2011	31	865	691	222	637	398	53
BAKKEN	9-2011	30	850	946	165	630	387	63
BAKKEN	8-2011	31	883	902	157	694	462	47
BAKKEN	7-2011	31	907	905	182	669	441	42
BAKKEN	6-2011	30	880	911	165	634	392	62
BAKKEN	5-2011	30	952	896	168	624	403	47
BAKKEN	4-2011	29	889	905	143	588	319	96
BAKKEN	3-2011	31	961	923	127	680	431	63
BAKKEN	2-2011	28	889	925	150	619	416	35
BAKKEN	1-2011	31	1012	922	142	564	379	0
BAKKEN	12-2010	31	1028	1162	142	680	494	0
BAKKEN	11-2010	30	1032	935	157	713	533	0
BAKKEN	10-2010	31	1024	1130	237	709	523	0
BAKKEN	9-2010	30	1065	928	212	712	532	0
BAKKEN	8-2010	31	1138	1152	207	722	536	0
BAKKEN	7-2010	31	1287	1385	257	746	560	0
BAKKEN	6-2010	23	876	893	229	444	314	0
BAKKEN	5-2010	31	1145	1282	227	727	550	0
BAKKEN	4-2010	30	1170	1125	215	747	567	0
BAKKEN	3-2010	31	1280	1161	236	775	589	0
BAKKEN	2-2010	28	1288	1470	231	660	492	0
BAKKEN	1-2010	26	1124	961	187	675	528	0
BAKKEN	12-2009	30	1287	1407	158	649	649	0
BAKKEN	11-2009	30	1315	1164	207	680	680	0
BAKKEN	10-2009	31	1391	1416	212	662	662	0
BAKKEN	9-2009	30	1380	1392	195	711	711	0
BAKKEN	8-2009	31	1484	1592	223	773	773	0
BAKKEN	7-2009	31	1556	1586	230	724	724	0
BAKKEN	6-2009	30	1539	1588	225	615	615	0
BAKKEN	5-2009	31	1647	1602	257	669	669	0
BAKKEN	4-2009	30	1636	1811	253	740	740	0
BAKKEN	3-2009	31	1812	1402	255	732	732	0
BAKKEN	2-2009	28	1756	1895	238	721	721	0
BAKKEN	1-2009	31	2015	1854	283	943	943	0
BAKKEN	12-2008	30	2170	2345	323	600	600	0
BAKKEN	11-2008	30	2299	2368	382	1111	1111	0
BAKKEN	10-2008	31	2585	2514	458	1330	1330	0
BAKKEN	9-2008	30	2822	2956	465	1234	1234	0
BAKKEN	8-2008	31	3172	2956	550	1297	1297	0
BAKKEN	7-2008	31	3315	3292	785	1282	1282	0
BAKKEN	6-2008	30	3569	3801	809	1398	1398	0
BAKKEN	5-2008	15	1740	1615	628	577	577	0
BAKKEN	4-2008	28	3071	3155	811	1279	1279	0
BAKKEN	3-2008	31	3690	3661	925	1301	1301	0
BAKKEN	2-2008	27	4948	4934	1301	397	397	0
BAKKEN	1-2008	6	1649	1245	993	0	0	0