Fracking The Heck Out Of CLR's Candee 11-9H, #16509, Chimney Butte -- July 31, 2017

Let me know if anyone has trouble understanding this post.

Disclaimer: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken. I have no training or experience in the oil industry. Many folks think I'm seeing things that don't exist. In a long note like this there are likely to be factual and typographical errors.

The narrative begins.

Fracking the heck out of #16509; this well was originally fracked in 2007. Production was boosted in 2012 when intersecting wells were fracked. Production was boosted again in 2015 when intersecting wells were fracked in 2015. Production was boosted again, recently, in 2017, when intersecting wells were fracked.

If one wants, one can run through the exercise with the production profiles of the other wells just as well, but I'm pretty bored with the whole exercise, so I won't.

There was increased production in #16509 when intersecting wells were fracked on three separate occasions. The increased production from the halo effect on one well won't move the needle, but multiply this across the Bakken, with 15,000 wells; multiply it by numerous refracks; and, throw in the fact that the newer fracks are getting bigger and better, and maybe all that combined will move the needle.

I don't know. But moving from 175 bbls/month to over 2,000 bbls/month is probably not a bad thing for either the oil company or those receiving royalties.

And, oh, by the way, these extra bbls of oil -- how much did it cost to lift these "extra bbls"? About zero dollars.

The graphic:

The well:

• 16509, 729, CLR, Candee 11-9H, Chimney Butte, t6/07; cum 170K 5/17;

Selected periods of the production profile:

Pad #1: 20548 and 20546; frack dates
20548: API - 33-025-01333; 3/12/12; - 3/12/12; 
20546: API - 33-025-01331; 3/07/12; - 3/07/12;
Early 2012, #16509:

BAKKEN	7-2012	31	2133	1962	767	1466	1466	0
BAKKEN	6-2012	30	2160	2128	905	1499	1499	0
BAKKEN	5-2012	27	2103	1906	2670	506	506	0
BAKKEN	4-2012	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2012	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2012	7	153	428	33	145	145	0
BAKKEN	1-2012	31	912	1385	215	807	807	0
BAKKEN	12-2011	31	912	638	235	767	767	0

Pad #2: 29473, 29474, and 29475; frack dates:
29473: API - 33-025-02665; 3/26/15 - 4/2/15;
29474: API - 33-025-02666; 3/18/15 - 3/31/15;
29475: API - 33-025-02667; 3/18/15 - 3/24/15;
Early 2015, #16509:

BAKKEN	8-2015	20	2007	2309	2118	2225	0	2225
BAKKEN	7-2015	23	1875	1755	2473	1979	14	1965
BAKKEN	6-2015	12	551	658	733	577	20	557
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	2410	2664	4790	2531	359	2172
BAKKEN	4-2015	21	2847	2448	5975	2703	106	2597
BAKKEN	3-2015	1	96	210	100	118	0	118
BAKKEN	2-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	1-2015	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	12-2014	24	607	687	158	848	848	0
BAKKEN	11-2014	30	851	945	225	1156	1156	0
BAKKEN	10-2014	31	899	627	243	1282	1282	0
BAKKEN	9-2014	30	1036	1401	307	1145	1145	0

Pad #3: 32093, 32095; frack dates --
32093: API - 33-025-03040; 3/11/17 - 3/28/17;
32095: API - 33-025-03042; 3/12/17 - 3/27/17; 
Early 2017, #16509:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2017	31	7672	7667	9184	8128	8128	0
BAKKEN	4-2017	28	7288	6801	15595	5853	5853	0
BAKKEN	3-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2017	5	13	442	70	15	0	15
BAKKEN	1-2017	26	900	676	762	424	424	0
BAKKEN	12-2016	31	1147	1360	30	589	516	73
BAKKEN	11-2016	30	1745	1766	3	1101	1101	0

Random Look At An EOG Mandaree Well -- July 30, 2017

FracFocus. API: 33-053-03069. No frac data as of July 30, 2017, which means that no fracks have been reported to FracFocus since 2012.

Sundry forms: no evidence this well was ever re-fracked.

Neighboring wells: EOG fracked a number of great wells about this time and in July, 2014, asked to commingle oil from seven wells (#21003, #26768, #26789, #26777, #26778, #26779). The new wells were huge wells and there was a chance that there was a commingling error. (I doubt it; commingling errors are often corrected; unfortunately from the data one cannot say if there was a commingling error). Note: these are all short lateral wells.

#21003: also showed a jump in production but not as marked; it jumped form 1,500 bbls/month to 7,000 bbls/month; in both cases; the jump in production was sustained for about one year but at significantly lower production than the original jump.

• 18411, 977, EOG, Mandaree 10-05H, Squaw Creek, t10/10; cum 194K 5/17;

The production profile, look at the data in bold, red, 2014:

Monthly Production Data:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2017	31	1130	1130	668	4975	4820	0
BAKKEN	4-2017	30	1010	1018	941	3903	3753	0
BAKKEN	3-2017	31	1213	1182	1169	3348	3193	0
BAKKEN	2-2017	28	306	319	1707	703	564	0
BAKKEN	1-2017	4	309	269	244	50	33	0
BAKKEN	12-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	11-2016	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	10-2016	0	0	63	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2016	29	841	857	1331	2836	2688	4
BAKKEN	8-2016	31	924	940	1466	3271	3116	0
BAKKEN	7-2016	31	793	770	1424	3598	3443	0
BAKKEN	6-2016	30	869	896	1348	4249	4046	55
BAKKEN	5-2016	31	1009	1003	1311	4937	4244	538
BAKKEN	4-2016	30	1081	1114	1258	5218	5068	0
BAKKEN	3-2016	31	1177	1131	1321	6060	5905	0
BAKKEN	2-2016	29	915	935	1002	5603	5458	0
BAKKEN	1-2016	31	1299	1299	1384	8343	8172	18
BAKKEN	12-2015	31	1882	1941	716	10088	9891	42
BAKKEN	11-2015	30	1563	1517	1719	8327	8167	10
BAKKEN	10-2015	31	1433	1429	2035	9188	9033	0
BAKKEN	9-2015	30	2008	1963	1991	9745	9595	0
BAKKEN	8-2015	31	2154	2214	1982	9344	9189	0
BAKKEN	7-2015	31	2197	2251	1829	8903	8718	30
BAKKEN	6-2015	30	2259	2202	1811	7819	7449	220
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	2521	2665	1924	8335	7794	386
BAKKEN	4-2015	30	3912	3904	2466	10914	10748	17
BAKKEN	3-2015	31	4827	4665	3023	10665	10382	133
BAKKEN	2-2015	19	3199	3378	2110	8162	7885	190
BAKKEN	1-2015	31	8582	8919	8659	19553	17848	1551
BAKKEN	12-2014	31	14311	14188	9173	27070	24696	2220
BAKKEN	11-2014	16	9993	9505	9408	12794	9594	3123
BAKKEN	10-2014	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	9-2014	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2014	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2014	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2014	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2014	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2014	3	93	419	86	230	23	192
BAKKEN	3-2014	31	787	733	200	1272	170	947
BAKKEN	2-2014	28	558	771	100	953	380	435
BAKKEN	1-2014	27	651	589	176	1156	709	318
BAKKEN	12-2013	31	1385	1352	365	2235	1328	754
BAKKEN	11-2013	30	1413	1500	275	1759	1394	216
BAKKEN	10-2013	31	1435	1321	340	2217	1303	761
BAKKEN	9-2013	30	1353	1443	507	3016	2584	285
BAKKEN	8-2013	31	1530	1403	427	2728	1931	643
BAKKEN	7-2013	31	1569	1612	330	3507	2583	769
BAKKEN	6-2013	30	1546	1531	397	3571	3359	63
BAKKEN	5-2013	31	1819	1871	505	3066	2932	0
BAKKEN	4-2013	30	1909	1765	502	230	23	192
BAKKEN	3-2013	31	1684	1634	415	2433	892	1403
BAKKEN	2-2013	28	1595	1866	643	3468	3239	101
BAKKEN	1-2013	31	2207	2016	613	4030	3837	44
BAKKEN	12-2012	31	2606	2908	594	3549	3353	53
BAKKEN	11-2012	21	1806	1575	350	2405	1112	1202
BAKKEN	10-2012	24	1873	1848	412	2085	1969	0
BAKKEN	9-2012	17	1487	1491	376	1479	1401	0
BAKKEN	8-2012	31	2485	2452	612	3949	3771	26
BAKKEN	7-2012	28	2580	2523	549	3784	3648	0
BAKKEN	6-2012	29	2613	2747	617	3234	3008	96
BAKKEN	5-2012	31	3097	3261	656	3994	3599	242
BAKKEN	4-2012	30	3734	3788	776	4925	4723	60
BAKKEN	3-2012	26	4504	4236	1227	4977	3959	898
BAKKEN	2-2012	19	2521	2668	613	2891	2191	611
BAKKEN	1-2012	29	4271	4539	1180	5176	4079	959
BAKKEN	12-2011	29	4282	4014	2338	3698	3303	261
BAKKEN	11-2011	9	609	866	127	767	722	0
BAKKEN	10-2011	5	1163	423	997	1137	752	361
BAKKEN	9-2011	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2011	3	163	954	32	251	0	239
BAKKEN	7-2011	31	3095	4174	573	3179	0	3024
BAKKEN	6-2011	30	3368	2548	581	2960	0	2819
BAKKEN	5-2011	31	3772	3987	578	3243	0	3093
BAKKEN	4-2011	30	4092	3960	706	3234	0	3085
BAKKEN	3-2011	31	4641	4737	725	3638	0	3490
BAKKEN	2-2011	28	5007	5393	958	4309	0	4172
BAKKEN	1-2011	31	7727	7645	1393	12619	0	12464
BAKKEN	12-2010	14	5020	4536	2062	7124	0	7058
BAKKEN	11-2010	25	7289	7351	1538	15505	0	15390
BAKKEN	10-2010	27	15061	13950	9241	16940	0	16812

Graphics:

Frack data:

• 18411, API: 33-053-03069. FracFocus with no frack data.  Stimulated: 10/01/10; open hole; 1.1 million lbs;
  
• 26768, API; 33-053-05390. Fracked 8/30/14 - 9/16/14. Middle Bakken, 23 stages, 5.9 million lbs;
• 21003, API: 33-053-03642. Fracked 10/1/11 - 10/1/11. Middle Bakken, 15 stages; 1.5 million lbs;
• 26769, API: 33-053-05391. Fracked 8/29/214 - 9/18/14. Middle Bakken, 26 stages, 6.7 million lbs;   

Fracking Squeeze -- A Pincer Movement; Update On Whiting Chameleon Wells -- July 30, 2017

The graphic:

Production profiles:

19859, 1,102, Whiting, Chameleon State 153-97-16-21-1H, Banks, t7/12; cum 163K 5/17;

Monthly Production Data:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2017	30	3145	3186	3088	3560	3392	79
BAKKEN	4-2017	27	2079	2020	1331	5167	4741	348
BAKKEN	3-2017	31	3213	3282	1907	8467	7436	938
BAKKEN	2-2017	28	4021	4006	4737	12707	11118	1505
BAKKEN	1-2017	31	5519	5504	7961	17619	16645	881
BAKKEN	12-2016	31	6115	6141	7397	19521	7538	11890
BAKKEN	11-2016	30	6491	6479	9087	20744	8633	12021
BAKKEN	10-2016	11	2148	2171	12955	12653	4839	7781
BAKKEN	9-2016	5	273	454	150	1152	1137	0
BAKKEN	8-2016	31	1699	1577	1134	5942	5830	19
BAKKEN	7-2016	31	1846	2004	1309	6759	6658	8
BAKKEN	6-2016	30	1926	2031	1432	6895	6759	46
BAKKEN	5-2016	30	2249	2261	1847	6804	5454	1261
BAKKEN	4-2016	24	1911	1806	1946	5670	4644	956
BAKKEN	3-2016	24	1824	1819	1851	4825	4059	707
BAKKEN	2-2016	29	2097	2468	3755	6091	5759	245
BAKKEN	1-2016	27	1895	1374	5054	4930	4308	542
BAKKEN	12-2015	15	746	838	2365	2395	1856	495
BAKKEN	11-2015	11	405	463	247	1631	1410	191
BAKKEN	10-2015	31	1289	1128	995	5368	4055	1220
BAKKEN	9-2015	27	1314	1361	830	5197	4712	404
BAKKEN	8-2015	20	908	1124	628	3721	3103	561
BAKKEN	7-2015	31	1274	1155	865	4474	1221	3169
BAKKEN	6-2015	20	800	916	793	3469	99	3315
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	1486	1599	1068	5581	312	5176
BAKKEN	4-2015	30	1436	1134	892	4411	0	4325
BAKKEN	3-2015	31	1304	1589	1202	5380	3780	1507
BAKKEN	2-2015	28	1291	1165	786	5258	4980	194
BAKKEN	1-2015	31	1510	1419	866	5842	4781	968
BAKKEN	12-2014	31	1491	1677	1002	6531	6166	272
BAKKEN	11-2014	30	1627	1440	1014	6129	4065	1974
BAKKEN	10-2014	31	1678	1847	1011	6423	5759	571
BAKKEN	9-2014	30	1553	1882	965	6057	5707	262
BAKKEN	8-2014	31	1624	1364	962	6327	5401	850
BAKKEN	7-2014	31	1752	1819	1062	6626	5106	1439
BAKKEN	6-2014	30	1783	1496	1075	6093	2437	3656
BAKKEN	5-2014	31	1776	2166	1017	6463	945	5519
BAKKEN	4-2014	30	1926	1514	1107	7355	4822	2532
BAKKEN	3-2014	31	2017	2126	1127	7240	5883	1356
BAKKEN	2-2014	28	1911	2052	977	6366	5712	654
BAKKEN	1-2014	31	2087	2037	1040	7151	6299	852
BAKKEN	12-2013	31	2195	2035	1187	6556	3811	2746
BAKKEN	11-2013	30	2193	2263	1133	7222	4175	3047
BAKKEN	10-2013	31	2403	2270	1277	7943	6624	1319
BAKKEN	9-2013	30	2270	2285	1222	7690	7470	220
BAKKEN	8-2013	31	2372	2239	1328	8420	7226	1193
BAKKEN	7-2013	31	2623	2780	1463	12837	11467	1370
BAKKEN	6-2013	30	2780	2839	1828	10706	10551	155
BAKKEN	5-2013	25	3052	2916	1975	10759	10265	494
BAKKEN	4-2013	26	2596	2801	1818	11985	11467	188
BAKKEN	3-2013	31	3873	3814	2501	17085	15747	657
BAKKEN	2-2013	25	3117	3218	1913	9246	8776	471
BAKKEN	1-2013	31	4205	4403	2758	14936	14929	7
BAKKEN	12-2012	31	5321	5075	4170	21452	20784	669
BAKKEN	11-2012	30	6161	6158	3913	22868	22646	222
BAKKEN	10-2012	31	8406	8402	4726	27814	27803	12
BAKKEN	9-2012	30	10046	10043	4903	27718	24021	3697
BAKKEN	8-2012	31	11257	11330	7370	28610	24330	4280
BAKKEN	7-2012	7	4646	4146	7131	12134	797	11337

**************************************

• 22621, 1,561, Whiting, Chameleon State 153-97-16-21-2H, Banks, t5/12; cum 141K 5/17;

Monthly Production Data:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2017	30	4113	4133	4904	6096	5870	136
BAKKEN	4-2017	23	1874	1824	750	4612	4233	311
BAKKEN	3-2017	31	3331	3384	1272	7431	6516	822
BAKKEN	2-2017	28	3374	3389	2665	9924	8667	1173
BAKKEN	1-2017	31	6577	6571	9116	21054	19907	1054
BAKKEN	12-2016	31	8287	8321	10044	26469	10233	16143
BAKKEN	11-2016	30	8796	8783	12339	28131	11721	16320
BAKKEN	10-2016	10	3755	3707	11821	8657	3520	5108
BAKKEN	9-2016	5	127	432	165	625	610	0
BAKKEN	8-2016	31	826	669	1000	3953	3830	30
BAKKEN	7-2016	31	818	889	1107	3603	3502	8
BAKKEN	6-2016	30	868	886	1326	3974	3876	8
BAKKEN	5-2016	31	910	897	1259	4510	3723	694
BAKKEN	4-2016	30	958	912	1063	4853	4328	437
BAKKEN	3-2016	30	1456	1594	1759	6257	6110	57
BAKKEN	2-2016	28	1210	1360	630	3615	3508	23
BAKKEN	1-2016	31	806	469	322	2136	1939	104
BAKKEN	12-2015	13	359	307	261	907	869	0
BAKKEN	11-2015	8	221	457	187	1017	924	72
BAKKEN	10-2015	31	987	896	853	5044	4133	818
BAKKEN	9-2015	30	1225	1350	1217	5963	5656	219
BAKKEN	8-2015	23	770	688	911	3214	2638	511
BAKKEN	7-2015	25	892	902	750	4653	1018	3560
BAKKEN	6-2015	25	1071	1099	1041	4161	0	4091
BAKKEN	5-2015	31	1521	1583	1064	4598	0	4505
BAKKEN	4-2015	30	1289	1128	787	3298	0	3232
BAKKEN	3-2015	31	1173	1371	715	3850	3069	704
BAKKEN	2-2015	28	1121	910	650	3842	3654	104
BAKKEN	1-2015	31	1146	1351	847	3869	2939	846
BAKKEN	12-2014	31	1104	1178	685	4143	3999	94
BAKKEN	11-2014	30	1062	942	623	3769	2440	1281
BAKKEN	10-2014	31	1074	1140	696	4756	4171	528
BAKKEN	9-2014	30	1308	1399	964	5654	5319	273
BAKKEN	8-2014	31	1547	1390	1057	6507	5835	604
BAKKEN	7-2014	30	1289	1599	883	5233	4441	723
BAKKEN	6-2014	30	1412	930	942	5217	3065	2151
BAKKEN	5-2014	31	1562	1966	1015	5907	2735	3172
BAKKEN	4-2014	30	1485	1090	960	6183	4703	1480
BAKKEN	3-2014	31	1632	1924	1075	7374	6906	469
BAKKEN	2-2014	28	1635	1384	1033	7528	7090	438
BAKKEN	1-2014	31	1860	1804	1115	7481	7201	280
BAKKEN	12-2013	31	2159	2052	1027	6962	5424	1538
BAKKEN	11-2013	30	2053	2474	1332	7547	5667	1881
BAKKEN	10-2013	19	1654	1125	1090	3531	3522	9
BAKKEN	9-2013	30	1964	2052	1070	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2013	31	2008	1950	1055	2484	2484	0
BAKKEN	7-2013	31	2024	2164	1063	8789	8789	0
BAKKEN	6-2013	30	1918	1778	952	6083	6083	0
BAKKEN	5-2013	31	2210	2248	1287	7615	7615	0
BAKKEN	4-2013	30	2457	2376	1442	9097	8789	0
BAKKEN	3-2013	31	2850	3097	1852	11699	11017	0
BAKKEN	2-2013	28	2847	2827	1748	10281	9675	0
BAKKEN	1-2013	31	3503	3290	2263	13651	12897	72
BAKKEN	12-2012	31	3743	3863	2806	13898	12235	981
BAKKEN	11-2012	29	3782	3791	2713	12343	11891	12
BAKKEN	10-2012	31	5538	5534	4204	26716	26714	2
BAKKEN	9-2012	30	8091	8044	5006	26300	25482	818
BAKKEN	8-2012	31	10149	10327	7506	27960	25748	2211
BAKKEN	7-2012	7	5148	4653	5950	13003	945	12058